Statistical Significance of Predicted Earthquake Occurrence
by Ganesh Neupane (9783639195736)

Statistical Significance of Predicted Earthquake Occurrence
 

Ganesh Neupane


Release Date: 01 September 2009
Format: Paperback
Pages: 76
Category: Earth Sciences
Publisher: VDM Verlag
ISBN: 9783639195736
ISBN-10: 3639195736



Even a stopped clock is right twice a day and almost any method for predicting earthquakes will succeed occasionally, whether the methods have merit or not. Qiang et al. (2001) successfully predicted 100 earthquakes that is based on a predicted increase of ground temperatures in the lower atmosphere from 2 to 8 days before a large scale earthquake. Despite their apparent success at predicting the earthquakes, they did not compare their prediction with the natural rate of occurrence in the area, which experiences an earthquake of Richter magnitude greater than 4 every week. This book compares their predictions to the natural occurrence of earthquakes within the region in order to evaluate the apparent success of Qiang et al's. (2001) method. It is clearly seen that more than 80% earthquakes occurred outside the predicted window iwth variable statistical signifcance. Thus, the ability of the model to predict earthquake epicenters can be called into question.

AUD $106.95

 This title is not held in stock & is ordered from suppliers, subject to availability.



Write a customer review of Statistical Significance of Predicted Earthquake Occurrence.



If you like this title please tell others:

tell others

post to your Facebook wall post on Twitter post on Digg recommend to Stumbleupon bookmark on Delicious RSS feed send to a friend


Australian BookShop
Australian Bookshop. Established 2003
Search
Shopping Cart Customer Support


HolisticPage
International Online Store
of Inspiration
we ship everywhere
Australia Post
Australia Wide
.
Worldwide